2024 Keynote Address
I am honored to deliver the Opening Keynote address at AIA LA’s 7th Annual Symposium on Climate Change on April 19th. The conference is dedicated to reducing Upfront Embodied Carbon emissions.
AIA LA’s 1.5 °C Symposium on Climate Change will address the reality of dealing with “upfront” Embodied Carbon attributable to building designs and construction.
The practical side of addressing Embodied Carbon will be the single theme and an eye-opener, focusing on the veracity and efficacy of what we can do now— from the opening keynote and presentations, ‘Lunch Think’ attendee discussions, to the afternoon and closing sessions.
This all-day conference in Los Angeles will provide access to many experts in the field covering a broad perspective. It’s all about Embodied Carbon and eligible for 6 AIA LU (HSW) + 5 California ZNCD credits.
Link for Info and Link for Tickets
AIA LA’s 1.5 °C Symposium on Climate Change
Pacific Design Center, West Hollywood: 8AM-4PM (PT)
Friday April 19th 8am-4pm
Books
Reducing Emissions
in the 2020s.
“Thwart Climate Change Now: Reducing Embodied Carbon Brick by Brick” addresses an imperative—to slow the pace of climate change within the coming decade—before it’s too late.
While climate policy typically focuses on future decarbonization 10 to 20 years out, temperatures continue to rise. Greenhouse gases emitted upfront from the materials fabrication, construction, and renovation of our physical environment—embodied emissions—accelerate the rate of global warming now. Sadly, they increase atmospheric carbon before our buildings and infrastructure are even used. Often ignored or deemed too perplexing to resolve, the need to reduce embodied emissions immediately is the subject of this book.
Written for a variety of readers—from policymakers and legislators to architects and developers—Thwart Climate Change Now addresses how to tackle the built environment’s “embodied” carbon emissions, highlighting specific design and policy issues that overlook their own contribution to atmospheric carbon. The book brings together the science of climate change, sustainable design, and green policies in a language accessible to a diverse readership, followed by case study examples to support design, policy, and legislative recommendations to slow emissions growth in the near term.
Published by the Environmental Law Institute ELI Press, November 2021
How buildings interact with people and the natural environment.
“Buildings are for People: Human Ecological Design” offers a new approach to the process of conceiving architectural design, one that considers the interactions of the built environment with people and the natural environment.
The book exposes our visceral and experiential connections to buildings, and how they intervene directly with our ecosystem, natural environment and sense of place. It brings to light our ability to utilize a building's surfaces, shape and materiality to synergize with the energy and forces of nature for a more green and sustainable architecture. Buildings are for People addresses many of the roadblocks to successful design, such as issues in education, the profession, regulation and the industry's institutions—roadblocks rarely discussed.
Most importantly, Buildings are for People: Human Ecological Design highlights the obvious, that buildings are built for people, a fact that seems overlooked during the last half-century.
Published by Libri Publishing Green Frigate Books, UK, July 2016
Rural and city contrasts still present in this 21st century.
People and places in Vietnam,
Laos, Cambodia.
“Contrasts 21c” is a photo essay about people and places. Expressing a sensitivity to the human condition and the built and natural environments, it brings to life an eye-opening pictorial about human adaptability in lands of stunning beauty—Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia.
Mountainous terrains, lowlands and banks of the Mekong and Red rivers are home to a rich diversity of cultures—an admixture of ancient tradition and present-day reality. From linear villages lining roadsides and shorelines to small hamlets and large cities, this is a story best experienced by exploration, best told through its images—the people, faces, their eyes and often their smiles. "Contrasts 21c" draws attention to the conflicts between self-sufficiency and sustainability in a present-day reality.
A 9 inch x 10 inch Coffee-Table Book with 18 inch wide 2-page spreads, "Contrasts 21c" transports the reader to distant locales to unveil incredible contrasts between rural and city life still present in this 21st century. 234 pages of Caplan’s select photographs interspersed with text and maps, tell this story of 21st century contrasts—the cultural diversity of this region and its challenges.
Blogs
June 22, 2023
Dialogue: Climate Compliance vs Action 2023
The Environmental Law Institute hosted a panel of experts that provided an update on Buy Clean policy, green funding, the status of carbon emissions, and a primer on EPDs on February 1, 2023. The Environmental Law Reporter published an edited transcript of that discussion in June 2023.
The Inflation Reduction Act and Federal Buy Clean Initiative have each inspired states and municipalities to regulate embodied carbon (Scope 3) using “Buy Clean” policies and legislation. Reducing embodied carbon has become mainstream, and environmental product declarations (EPDs) have surfaced as the tool. Are EPDs alone enough? Is the compliance timeline sufficient?
Download the complete PDF versionElaborative comments to the EPA Low-Embodied Carbon Initiatives RFI submissions by Bill Caplan
Download PDF VersionMay 8, 2023
Responses to the Environmental Protection Agency’s RFI EPA-HQ-OPPT-2022-0924 are critical to programs that will impact greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions during the 6 years remaining in the 2020s. The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) appropriated more than $2 billion each to the General Service Administration (GSA) and the Federal Highway Administration to procure or incentivize the use of low-carbon materials. As defined by the IRA, low-carbon materials “have substantially lower levels of embodied greenhouse gas emissions . . . as determined by the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency”.[1] The funds must be allocated by September 30, 2026.
To allow quick access to the IRA resources, the EPA issued an interim interpretation of “low-embodied, greenhouse-gas emissions” on December 22, 2022 to provide actionable standards that may be shared with other agencies. The determination, based on an initial review of how states and other entities approached addressing embodied carbon, reviewed Global Warming Potentials (GWPs) available from Environmental Product Declarations (EPDs) for asphalt, concrete, glass and steel.[2] Presumably, this included EPD datasets from Building Transparency’s EC3 database, a data source for GSA’s IRA Limits for Low Embodied Carbon Concrete.[3] EPA’s RFI questions 5, 6, 8, 13, 14, 16, 18 and 26 concern the veracity of the ‘background datasets’, their need for ‘standardization’, ‘maintenance’, ‘quality assurance’ and ‘independent verification’—especially for use in benchmarking and setting embodied greenhouse gas emission thresholds.
The preponderous of underlying data that formulates GSA’s Limits was mined from the Embodied Carbon in Construction Calculator (EC3) Tool operated by Building Transparency. EC3 is a Public Beta software program yet to be fully debugged. Though significant questions have arisen regarding its use, there are no indications that the EC3’s functions, factors and data-entry procedures have been verified in large scale, or independently audited. Establishing federal regulations sourced primarily from a single independent operation without proper due diligence would be a grave mistake. The impact of GSA’s “Limits” will span industrial activity across the United States, as well as the government’s ability to implement an important part of the IRA. EC3 is valuable and viable, but the tool and others like it, as well as their management, must be properly vetted and corrected if necessary.
Considering the need to obligate IRA funding by the end of 2026, the haste expressed in the GSA Inflation Reduction Act Industry Exchange event “to have actionable standards finalized” is understandable. Nonetheless, once finalized, GSA’s standards will essentially be set in stone[4], most likely though 2029. State and municipal Buy Clean initiatives across the nation are likely to use them as well. Unfortunately, as constituted, the impact of the Limits is unclear. Are they too restrictive to be met, or might they fail to produce the “substantial” reductions necessary to qualify for IRA funding? Allocation by September 30, 2026 can still be achieved if proper vetting is initiated now. The questions raised can be investigated, acted on where necessary, verified, and independently audited in 2023. Actionable standards could be finalized by early 2024, with sufficient time to obligate funding by the end of 2026.
As noted in the February 9, 2023 letter to Kevin Kampschroer at the GSA, from the President and CEO of the American Iron and Steel Institute, “there are serious concerns with the EC3 database and resulting methodology that could significantly impair the effectiveness of the GSA’s program if not adequately addressed.”[5] Having studied Building Transparency’s EC3 database for Ready-Mixed concrete over the last 4 months, I concur.
Seven categories of concern regarding the veracity of the EC3 datasets provide insight for the EPA RFI’s questions concerning their need for ‘standardization’, ‘maintenance’, ‘quality assurance’ and ‘independent verification’:
Duplicate EC3 entries for the same EPD.
Inclusion of EPDs computed from Industry Average ‘cement’ values.
Questionable traceability for EPD-data ‘Updates’ in EC3.
Questionable EC3 ‘Uncertainty Factor’ determinations.
Questionable Industry Average ‘concrete’ Global Warming Potential (GWP) estimations.
Limited geographic data balance.
Lack of Portland cement ‘content’ disclosure.
CATEGORIES of CONCERN
for READY MIX CONCRETE GWP DATA
1. Duplicate EC3 entries for the same EPD:
As others have reported, there were numerous double entries for specific product EPDs in the EC3 database. Data searches indicate that double entries were included in the January 25, 2023 pre-decisional draft’s underlying surveys. Lax EC3 EPD name-designation procedures at Building Transparency appear to be the cause.
A Typical Example
An EC3 data search on April 7, 2023 for EPDs from the National Ready Mix Concrete Company, Encino, CA for products named “S70524” revealed two individual entries for the Sun Valley Plant:
National Ready Mix — Sun Valley — S70524
National Ready Mix — Sun Valley — Mix S70524
The “Declared Product” name on both of the published EPDs was “Mix S70524 • Sun Valley Plant”.
Although many such double entries appear to have been “expired” from active data calculations or purged from the database as of mid-March 2023, others such as this pair remained. Duplicate entries of the same product EPD act to skew the result of data compilations.
2. Inclusion of EPDs computed from Industry Average ‘cement’ values:
The EPA requires that “Concrete EPDs must, where available, rely on facility specific data for the upstream cement plant”.[6] It should be noted that the EPA requires Portland cement plants to document their CO2 emissions.[7] Facility-specific product-specific EPDs are readily available from the cement suppliers.
EPDs with GWP values calculated from Industry Average cement data should be excluded from GSA Limits surveys. They do not meet the requirements of a facility specific EPD and their GWP declarations are unreliable.
In the double-entry example above, one EPD entry was calculated from Industry Average cement data, the other from “manufacturer specific” cement.
The entry Mix S70534—using Industry Average data—declared GWP at 397 kgCO2e.
Entry S70534—using “manufacturer specific” data—declared 342 kgCO2e. The difference is 16 percent.
Both EPDs were classified in EC3 as “Manufacturer Specific”, “Plant Specific” and “Product Specific”.
3. Questionable traceability for EPD-data ‘Updates’ in EC3:
According to the EC3 User Guide[8], when an update is made to an existing EPD’s datafile that is superseded by a new entry, the EPD’s original “expiration date” is changed to the ‘publication’ date of the new EPD entry. The older file is classified ‘Expired” and excluded from future GWP data compilations. Although an EC3 search indicates the date an EPD was “Last Updated”, it is not clear from its datafile when a prematurely expired EPD was actually excluded from GWP data compilations.
Example:
An April 13, 2023 database search for Central Concrete, Plant Bode B, Product Name “1471C5E1”, revealed three EPDs:
Active—Product Name “1471C5E1” Last Updated March 30, 2023
Expired—Product Name “1471C5E1” Last Updated March 30, 2023
Expired—Product Name “Mix 1471C5E1” Last Updated March 3, 2023
Presumably, on March 30, 2023, a Central Concrete-Plant ‘Bode B’ EPD “1471C5E1” issued on October 4, 2021 and still valid, was input to EC3’s database. This caused the pre-existing EPD of the same name—issued on September 16, 2018 and valid to September 16, 2023—to be expired. The expiration date in EC3’s data file was changed from September 16, 2023 to October 3, 2021. This update changed the product’s GWP value from 287kgCO2e to 261kgCO2e. Did that impact EC3’s GWP data compilations commencing March 30, 2023? Might an auditor viewing the expired datafile, assume it was deactivated from compilations on October 3, 2021 rather than March 30, 2023?
The identical product mix, named “Mix 1471C5E1”, was “expired” on March 3, 2023. The EC3 file expiration date was changed from October 27, 2021 to September 15, 2018. Was its GWP value of 340kgCO2e actively compiled until September 15, 2018, or through March 3, 2023? There is no corresponding ‘active’ entry on March 3rd, presumably it was manually expired.
As the date an EPD is excluded from GWP compilations might not be discernable from its datafile—transparency and traceability seem comprised. The “Expired on” date in the EC3 datafile might vary significantly from the actual date of deactivation.
4. Questionable EC3 ‘Uncertainty Factor’ determinations:
EC3’s standard Uncertainty Factors seem arbitrary. They often fail to relate to certainty disclaimers disclosed on EPD declarations. Some EPDs calculated from industry average cement data note that “LCA impacts can vary depending upon manufacturing process, efficiency and fuel source by as much as 50% for some environmental impact categories.” In such cases, they note a caveat that cement accounts for a large portion of the impact which could result in high variations. For example, the EPD for the National Ready Mix, Sun Valley Plant “Mix S70524” mentioned above—'Last Updated in EC3’ on March 3, 2023— contained the following EPD disclaimer:
“Cement accounts for as much as 92% of the impacts of the concrete mixes included in this EPD and thus manufacturer specific cement impacts could result in variation of as much as 46%.”
Yet this EPD and others like it in the EC3 database through April 6, 2023, were classified as “Manufacturer Specific”, “Plant Specific” and “Product Specific” with an EC3 Uncertainty Factor of 1.095—nominally 10 percent.
EC3 applied the identical Uncertainty Factor of 1.095 to the other National Ready Mix, Sun Valley Plant “S70534” EPD above, which was calculated using “manufacture specific cement data that represents 100% of the total cement used” as stated on the EPD.
GSA “Limits” are based on EC3 “Uncertainty-Adjusted” GWP data. Clearly, the “Uncertainty-Adjusted” GWP-data provided by EC3 requires further scrutiny.
5. Questionable Industry Average ‘concrete’ GWP estimations:
According to the EPA’s letter of “interim determination” of December 22, 2022[9] concerning Low Carbon Materials, if neither the “Top 20 percent” nor “Top 40 percent” materials/products are available in a project’s location, “then a material/product qualifies per this determination if its GWP is better than the estimated industry average.” How were GSA Industry Average Limits estimated? The only source of data referenced in GSA’s January 25th draft is the “Uncertainty-Adjusted GWP” data reported from the EC3 database as of January 17, 2023. Does that imply that the Industry Average Limits were derived from EC3’s Compare Tool?
An EC3 search[10] of Connecticut Ready-Mixed concrete plants for “3000 psi” class concrete, yielded seven candidate EPDs with an Average GWP of 199kgCO2e ±22.9% per cubic yd, all manufactured by O&G/Brewster Transit Mix.
The Seven ‘Uncertainty-Adjusted’ GWP Values
199.2, 223.4, 231.8, 235.2, 251.9, 272.0, 273.7
199kgCO2e does not appear to be their average. The EC3 User Guide of April 7, 2022 defines ‘Average’ as “The arithmetic ‘Mean’ of Comparison Values of EPDs in a collection. Usually reported along with the standard deviation of the collection.” 199kgCO2e does not appear to be the ‘mean’ value of this Connecticut collection either.
If GSA Industry Average Limits were not derived from EC3 local data, then what is the source of the data?
6. Limited geographic data balance:
The GSA states that its existing Limits of September 2022 reflect a 20% reduction from GWP (CO2e) limits in the proposed code language of Lifecycle GHG Impacts in Building Codes from the New Buildings Institute (NBI), January 2022. The NBI’s proposed CO2e Limits were created for each concrete-mixture strength class, so that 75 percent of the GWP-values in Building Transparency’s EC3 database could comply. Of the 23 states surveyed, 81 percent of the qualifying EPDs in the survey were provided by concrete plants in California and New Jersey—68 percent from California alone. This lopsided domination by data from just two states alone, primarily determined by their local sources of cement, overwhelmingly skew the results of EC3 database compilations. As of April 10, 2023, California and New Jersey contribute 91 percent of all active Ready-Mixed concrete EPDs used to determine GSA’s Limits. As such, the GSA’s Limits fail to reflect a realistic assessment of the concrete products available throughout the United States, from nominally 8,000 [11] concrete plants. [12]
7. Lack of Portland cement ‘content’ disclosure:
Although the EPA directs cement plants to document CO2 emissions, and requires concrete EPD GWP-calculations from upstream cement ‘facility specific’ data where available to qualify for IRA funding, the NSF International Product Category Rule (PCR) for EPDs for Concrete acquiesces to the concrete industry’s desire to conceal the magnitude of Portland cement in their mixes.
Section 9.2 of the PCR for Concrete Version 2.1 (August 2021) contains the following clarification to the declaration of general information required in an EPD:
“—as the percentage of material components can be considered proprietary information, the list of materials should be reported in order of greatest mass per mix.”
In other words, the percentage of Portland cement in a mix need not be stated, though without it GWP values cannot be verified. Furthermore, suppliers can alter a batch’s Portland content at will.
This disclosure exception is allowed by the core PCR, ISO 21930:2017:
“With appropriate justification, this requirement does not apply to confidential or proprietary information relating to materials and substances that apply due to a competitive business environment or covered by intellectual property rights or similar legal restrictions.”
Given that cement plants must report CO2 emissions to the EPA under the Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program[13], and that cement manufacturing constitutes the largest portion of concrete’s GWP, there is no ‘appropriate justification’. Mandatory disclosure of the Portland content by percentage is necessary—by weight would be better.
CONCLUSIONS
The underlaying data that has been compiled to determine GSA’s Low Embodied Carbon Limits for Concrete was insufficiently vetted to meet the standards for federal regulation. As currently constituted, it is unclear if the Limits provide a reasonable chance of reducing concrete CO2e emissions under GSA’s guidelines or to qualify for IRA funding as defined by the EPA. The Limits as constituted could prove to be too lenient and thereby valueless; or too restrictive for a large percentage of the regional concrete plants across the United States.
Building Transparency’s EC3 tool/database has the capability to provide reliable GWP-data once vetted and independently audited. Data-entry management, compilation factors and quality assurance procedures require verification, and correction where needed. Deficient EPD datafiles must be purged from compilations.
The following steps would set the groundwork to determine realistic Limits that comply with the EPA’s requirement for a 20 percent GWP reduction or the alternatives.
Encourage or fund Building Transparency to provide or augment onsite fulltime Quality Assurance personnel to monitor data entry. Require third-party auditing to meet EPA/GSA standards.
Remove all EPDs files that are not ‘facility specific’—as defined by the EPA for upstream materials—from compilations used to determine GSA and other Buy Clean initiative Limits.
Uncertainty Factors should not be used to increase average GWP values for the purpose of determining GWP Limits. If used at all, Uncertainty Factors should be used to increase the value of a GWP cited on a contractor’s EPD when submitted for permitting approval which fails to meet disclosure requirements for its upstream materials, but might be eligible for the ‘40 percent’ or ‘Industry Average’ exceptions.
To qualify for Low Embodied Carbon Concrete programs, require contractor EPD submissions for Ready Mix concrete to disclose the percent of Portland or Portland-Lime cement in the mix, or their content by weight.
EPD-ID numbers should be required to be ‘manufacturing plant mix specific’ and include a Version Number to reflect revisions. Many concrete manufacturers use a single mix name to represent their ID for concrete batches produced at multiple plants that have different GWP values. The current lack of a designated ‘plant-product’ specific ID# can complicate the ease of verification, and mislead a contractor to assume a specific mix number assures the same GWP from any plant.
For the reasons elaborated in the deficiencies above, the GSA should temporarily suspend the existing Maximum Global Warming Potential Limits for GSA Low Embodied Carbon Concrete, and delay implementation of the pre-decisional discussion draft of January 25, 2023, pending review of a cleansed and verified EC3 dataset by the end of 2023.
Materials that support the data deficiencies enumerated above—both specific and in general—are available on request.
Respectfully submitted by Bill Caplan, Assoc. AIA
Author: Thwart Climate Change Now—Reducing Embodied Carbon Brick by Brick (2021, Environmental Law Institute ELI Press) and Buildings Are for People: Human Ecological Design (2016, Libri Publishing UK)
[1] Inflation Reduction Act Sections 60503 and 60506
[2] Letter from Janet G. McCabe, Deputy Administrator EPA, to Mr. Wishnia, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Climate Policy, DOT and Mr. Kampschroer, Chief Sustainability Officer and Director of the Office of Federal High-Performance Green Buildings, GSA, December 22, 2022.
[3] GSA’s IRA Limits for Low Embodied Carbon Concrete, Pre-decisional discussion DRAFT— January 25, 2023
[4] GSA Inflation Reduction Act Industry Exchange event transcript, BIS-GSA-AT, G23-958, February 2, 2023
[5] Letter of February 9, 2023 from Kevin Dempsey President and CEO American Iron and Steel Institute to Mr. Kevin Kampschroer, Chief Sustainability Officer and Director of the Office of Federal High-Performance Green Buildings, U.S. General Services Administration, Re: GSA Inflation Reduction Act Low Embodied Carbon Material Standards, Pre-decisional Discussion Draft (January 25, 2023); https://www.steel.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/AISI-Comments-to-GSA-Low-Embodied-Carbon-Material-Standards-Feb-9-2023.pdf
[6] Letter from Janet G. McCabe, Deputy Administrator, United States Environmental Protection Agency, to Mr. Andrew Wishnia Deputy Assistant Secretary for Climate Policy U.S. Department of Transportation, and Mr. Kevin Kampschroer, Chief Sustainability Officer and Director of the Office of Federal High-Performance Green Buildings, U.S. General Services Administration; December 22, 2022.
[7] 40 CFR Part 98 Subpart H – Cement Production
[8] EC3 User Guide of April 7, 2022
[9] Letter from Janet G. McCabe, Deputy Administrator, United States Environmental Protection Agency, to Mr. Andrew Wishnia Deputy Assistant Secretary for Climate Policy U.S. Department of Transportation, and Mr. Kevin Kampschroer, Chief Sustainability Officer and Director of the Office of Federal High-Performance Green Buildings, U.S. General Services Administration; December 22, 2022. [10] April 10, 2023
[11] National Ready Mix Concrete Associations (NRMCA) Member Industry-Average EPD for Ready Mixed Concrete, January 3, 2022.
[12] https://newbuildings.org/resource/lifecycle-ghg-impacts-in-codes/
[13] 40 CFR Part 98 Subpart H – Cement ProductionMeaningful Climate Action—Requires Consumer Action Too!
Aug 25, 2022
Climate action funding in the Inflation Reduction Act (I.R.A.) is a giant leap for humankind. However, we need small steps from each of us to prevent it from faltering. The wheels of government turn slowly, as do enacting legislation and building infrastructure. It’s up to all of us to stabilize emissions in the meantime—as global warming continues to increase.
By incentivizing more wind and solar energy, electric vehicles and electric heating, the I.R.A. aims to cut United States annual emissions by 2030 to 40 percent of what they were in 2005. Its long-term goal aims to achieve net-zero emissions by mid-century. That’s huge. Though many critics call for earlier abandonment of fossil fuels, this is a big start. Nevertheless, decades will pass before a clean-energy transition is sufficient to counteract the warming attributable to the U.S. economy. To buy the time to get there, each of us must do our part to reduce the carbon content of consumer consumption. And we can.
Achieving net-zero emissions by eliminating fossil fuel energy, widespread electrification, implementing carbon capture and new low-carbon technology will change the course of global warming. But those feats will take decades at best to accomplish. Meanwhile, constructing new solar, wind, storage installations and infrastructure itself will release significant carbon emissions—upfront—before each installation provides a single kilogram of carbon gas reductions. Those emissions will add to global warming immediately. A decade or more can pass after installation for operating benefits to exceed construction emissions—embodied emissions. Only then will real benefits accumulate. Ironically, this very solution to achieve net-zero in the decades to come will increase global warming in the short-term, a conundrum that must be addressed by reducing other sources of upfront emissions. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has repeatedly warned of our imminent need to stabilize emissions. If we do not, within this decade we will exceed the emissions allowable to maintain a high likelihood of holding temperature increases within the Paris Agreement’s 1.5-degree Celsius cap.
Reducing fossil fuel emissions and electrification alone will not get us there soon enough, even if we were to meet our targets. Slowing the progression of global warming requires all of us to act—now—before it’s too late to make a meaningful difference. Until we approach net-zero emissions in the future on a global scale, emissions from fabricating everything we produce will likely determine our fate. They are released daily. The fabrication of four materials alone generates nearly 10 billion metric tons of carbon emissions annually: cement, iron/steel, plastics and aluminum. That’s a quarter of worldwide emissions. Their further manufacture to consumer or construction products emits even more. Whether for a vehicle, appliance, electronics, clothing, houseware etc., or for construction, the purchaser’s choice determines the consequent emissions—from raw materials to manufacturing and interim transportation no matter where they are produced or assembled.
Crafting or building with ten percent less material can cut one billion metric tons of emissions annually—within a year or two. That’s big! Whether from construction, vehicles, appliances or even toys it quickly adds up. It’s quite simple—reducing the volume of materials used to make things will reduce manufacturing emissions in their next production cycle. Smaller, lighter and less excess go a long way. Consumer choice drives demand and resupply. Consumers hold the key to timely and successful climate action, buying time for the net-zero transition to reach critical mass. Choose the products you purchase with an eye toward less material; better yet, made with wood or recycled materials. Wood sequesters carbon. Recycling means less material will be manufactured from scratch. Even better, repurpose or extend the life of what you have. Consumer preferences can slow the pace of global warming within this decade, giving the I.R.A.’s climate actions a chance to make a difference—before it’s too late. It’s time for all of us to act.
OP-Ed Point of View by Bill Caplan
The Riverdale Press, New York, Richner Communications, Inc., August 25, 2022.
Advocacy or Action?
June 22, 2022
I was asked three interesting questions on AIA COTE's forum about the potential impact from the world’s 1.3 million architects. One architect expressed that architects are "not" in a position to impact embodied carbon significantly over the next ten years by championing specific materials for their projects. He stated that “More important is our advocacy with our elected leaders and governments: significant changes in the amount of embodied carbon in the built environment will only come through government regulation, i.e. changes to the building codes . . .”.
My edited response:
Q #1) What percentage of the world's new and renovated buildings are actually specified by those 1.3 million architects?
A significant percentage—enough to make a big difference.
Most human generated emissions emanate from industrialized nations—built environments designed by an AEC industry. And not solely from large buildings and infrastructure. 1.2 million single family homes are built annually in the U.S. alone. Significant change requires change in building codes. But the sheer number of architects, interns and designers can make a difference—with or without regulation.
Q #2) What percentage of the 1.3 million architects actually know or care enough to advocate for alternative materials on the basis of embodied carbon?
Not enough.
That's why we must shed light on misinformation, and the feckless use of "sustainable design" as a mere label—and the need to act this decade. Part of the problem—we lack the tools for easy action. Check out the AIA CES Course "Reducing Embodied Carbon, to Reduce Global Warming", addressing that reality. Available on YouTube.
Yes, we must "advocate", but that alone just passes the buck. Architects and designers are in a position to influence, and should act now. We face an irreversible calamity that cannot await government action.
Q #3) What percentage of those architects' clients would actually heed an architect's advice?
With choices that suit a client's program and budget—likely most of them.
Numerous ways exist to achieve a client's goal while maintaining a low carbon footprint. It does not require a client's commitment to thwart climate change. It's not about "advocating", it's about "selecting" low carbon choices from numerous commercial options available. That's where this begins.
Awaiting new regulations, technology and zero-carbon energy to gain traction requires time. We must keep the window open for 2 more decades without exhausting the remaining CO2 budget—by reducing emissions now. Simply reducing cement use by 15% eliminates 1 Gigatonne of CO2 every 3 years. Let's start with overabundant use and aesthetic embellishment. Reduce the mass of materials used for buildings and infrastructure, fittings and furnishing—it will reduce embodied carbon. How about thinner brick for cladding? The list is long and doable. Let's act now.
Bill Caplan
How Small Building Design
Impacts Embodied Emissions
March 25, 2022
The sheer number of small buildings worldwide illuminates an opportunity to control the carbon destiny of this sector through the practice of informed design, a rather striking opportunity. Not only do residential dwellings comprise the largest share of small buildings, residences constitute the largest number of all buildings. The annual construction of new dwellings in the United States and the upgrade of inadequate shelters worldwide elucidate this reality, the two ends of the spectrum.
At one end, approximately one million single-family homes are built in the United States annually with an average floor area in the vicinity of 2,500 square feet. At the other end, one and a half billion people live in temporary, minimal, or inadequate housing worldwide which will be replaced by more substantial structures through the alleviation of poverty and forced displacement.
The production of construction materials for each scenario will release carbon emissions annually that far outweigh years of potential operating emissions reductions in the future. Both scenarios offer opportunities to decrease this buildup of embodied carbon over the next 10 to 15 years through conscientious building design and material choice.
Although a small building pales in carbon footprint relative to its urban high-rise counterpart, their relative numbers provide a different dynamic. This holds especially true when considering shelter for the billion-plus people who are impoverished or displaced. Initial upgrades in housing are typically from bamboo, wood, thatch, cardboard, fabric, and corrugated metal to cinder block and concrete, the worst material emitters on the list. To make matters worse, these upgraded replacements will be discarded and replaced as well, by multi-story structures on the march toward urbanization over the decades to come-more than doubling the emissions from this group, the largest of all. This first upgrade alone, though providing a minimally sized dwelling, will be responsible for releasing sizeable emissions.
For example, more than a million and a half dwellings in Vietnam's 2009 housing census were classified as "simple" structures, constructed with supporting columns, roof, and walls that were all classified "flimsy"-constructed with materials such as mud, leaves, bamboo, thatch, or tar paper. Replacing them all with minimal 320-square-foot dwellings-a mere four cinder-block walls and a corrugated-metal roof-would emit nearly 40 million metric tons of CO2 to produce the building materials alone. Building with brick would not fare much better, and cladding with brick over cinder block would be far worse. This 40-million metric tons covers just the upgrade of four walls and a roof. To provide minimally adequate shelter for the 1.6 billion people with such need, multiply that by 1,000. This hurdle for curbing emissions is created in good part by defaulting to cinder block and concrete, rather than low-carbon or carbon-sequestering building materials such as wood.
On the other end of the spectrum, single-and multi-family housing provides a different type of design challenge. In the United States, new buildings construction every year is equivalent to adding the entire building stock of New York City annually. Only 5% of the single-family homes built in 2018 were clad primarily in wood. Nearly 800,000 were clad with other materials, 26% vinyl siding, 25% stucco, 21% brick, 20% fiber cement, and 3% using other products.
Unfortunately, most materials manufactured for cladding either contain cement or use a cementitious material such as mortar for mounting. This includes stucco, fiber cement, thin clay-brick, and cut stone cladding products. Cement production is responsible for 7% of all energy related emissions worldwide. Vinyl is the exception neither containing nor adhered with cement, but it too has a high-carbon footprint resulting from its carbon content. These cladding materials have average manufacturing emissions in the vicinity of 7 kgCO2/m2, which varies widely as a function of the cladding's thickness, finish, and the volume of mortar used for mounting, if any. Vinyl siding seems to be the lowest, at less than half the average in its simplest composition and minimum thickness. Facing with full-size clay bricks on the other hand, which is not included in the above average, in the vicinity of 30 kgCO2/m2 can be four times worse than the mean and 10 times vinyl.
Unlike any of these materials, wood provides a benefit. Wood shingles, shakes, or clapboards continue to sequester the carbon they have already removed from the atmosphere.
If 20% of the houses in each non-wood cladding category were clad with wood, the net CO2 emissions saved annually would near 1 million metric tons in the United States alone, solely from the cladding materials, solely from U.S. single-family homes. This does not include the backboard materials that support the cladding nor waterproofing membranes, mounting systems, or insulation, all of which can be selected to minimize a wall's composite carbon. The same can be said for window-frame, door, flooring, and roofing materials; choices among wood, plastics, metals, and ceramic, petroleum, or cement-based products.
Such gains may seem small for each individual residence, especially in regard to a minimal shelter, but the quantities built and renovated multiply the impact. Additionally, each material purchase activates a re-supply chain, initiating a release of carbon emissions in the "now" time frame. Those emissions not only negate many years of potential operating savings, the massive carbon they release immediately exacerbates the warming rate.
Single-family and small-multifamily dwellings are not the only structures comprising the Small Buildings category, let us not forget low-rise and mid-rise apartments, commercial and industrial buildings. Although significantly fewer than their one- to four-story residential counterparts, they are framed predominately with a combination of concrete and steel; often clad with fiber cement composites, concrete blocks, brick, clay tiles, aluminum, or steel-some claddings layered with a decorative or protective plastic-laminate finish. They too provide an opportunity to reduce embodied carbon through material selection and their structural methodology.
Yes, the design of small buildings and their material choices can significantly reduce carbon emission - now.
Adapted from "Thwart Climate Change Now: Reducing Embodied Carbon Brick by Brick", published by the Environmental Law Institute, Nov. 2021
Webinars
Free Public Webinar from the Environmental Law Institute
Climate Compliance vs Action 2023
— An Update on “Buy Clean”, Emissions, EPDs, and Funding
An Environmental Law Institute Webinar
February 1, 2023
With merely 7 years remaining to meet 2030 emission targets, where do we stand with new policies and legislation? Are we on track to thwart global warming? Reducing embodied carbon has become mainstream; Environmental Product Declarations (EPDs) have surfaced as the tool. ‘Buy Clean’ regulates embodied carbon and requires Environmental Product Declarations. Are EPDs alone enough? Is the compliance timeline sufficient?
The Inflation Reduction Act and Federal Buy Clean Initiative have inspired states and municipalities to regulate embodied carbon (Scope 3). Join the Environmental Law Institute and expert panelists for an update on Buy Clean policy, green funding, the status of carbon emissions, and a primer on EPDs, followed by an audience Q&A.
Panelists:
Bill Caplan, Author of Thwart Climate Change Now: Reducing Embodied Carbon Brick by Brick, Moderator/Presenter.
Ken Berlin, Senior Fellow, Global Energy Center, Atlantic Council.
Fatou Jabbie, Sustainability and Building Energy Simulation Engineer, MTA New York City Transit.
Chris Kardish, Industrial Fellow, Center for Climate and Energy Solutions.
Keith Killpack, Technical Director, Environmental Certification Services, SCS Global Services.
Reducing Embodied Carbon
— to Reduce Global Warming
May 10, 2022
Global Warming, is increasing at an alarming rate. Something more obvious today, than it was ago.
Nearly, 40% of all, energy-related emissions worldwide arise from the construction, and operation of buildings. The built environment is our largest source of energy-related Climate Changing emissions. Everyone connected with the design, construction or development of buildings or infrastructure can help. Consequences from what we build today, from the next project, will persist for the next 50 to one-hundred years or more.
With sustainable design of the built environment’s singular focus on saving energy, Embodied Carbon is often taken for granted. Yet, embodied emissions are released to the atmosphere upfront. Which means we must start to reduce them now, and not wait until the 2030s.
The 1st Objective of this course is to clarify that urgency. To explain why we need to reduce emissions—immediately. To examine how many ‘more’ tons of Carbon emissions we may continue to emit before global warming gets out of hand—the status of our decarbonization, where we stand now.
The 2nd Objective explores the relationship between a building’s “embodied” and “operating” emissions. What are their respective, relationships to global warming?
The 3rd Objective explains why material databases and compilation tools are difficult to use and need more development.
The final objective discusses how we can reduce embodied carbon now—significantly—while we await more user-friendly tools.
Presented by the Bronx New York Chapter of the American Institute of Architects.
Thwart Climate Change Now: Reducing Embodied Carbon Brick by Brick
February 1, 2022
An Environmental Law Institute Public Webinar
Join author Bill Caplan as he discusses his new book published by ELI Press—Thwart Climate Change Now: Reducing Embodied Carbon Brick by Brick. While climate policy typically focuses on future decarbonization 10 to 20 years out, temperatures continue to rise. Greenhouse gases emitted upfront from the materials, fabrication, construction, and renovation of our physical environment—embodied emissions—accelerate the rate of global warming now. Sadly, they increase atmospheric carbon before our buildings and infrastructure are even used. Often ignored or deemed too perplexing to resolve, the need to reduce embodied emissions immediately is the subject of this book. Bill Caplan will discuss three primary threads he wrote about: the urgent reality of now, misinformation and the green and sustainable palliatives, and reducing embodied carbon in the 2020s.
In addition, expert panelists will convene with the author to weigh in. How can we best tackle embodied carbon emissions? What design and policy issues overlook their own contribution to atmospheric carbon? What are the best strategies to slow the pace of climate change within the coming decade? Join the Environmental Law Institute and experts in the field to discuss the science of climate change, sustainable designs, green policies, and so much more.
Panelists:
Maxine Joselow, Staff Writer, The Washington Post, moderator
Kenneth Berlin, President and CEO, The Climate Reality Project
Meta Brunzema, R.A. LEED A.P., Architecture & Urban Design, Collective for Community, Culture, and Environment LLC
Bill Caplan, Author, Thwart Climate Change Now (presenter/panelist)
Meghan Lewis, Senior Researcher, Carbon Leadership Forum, University of Washington
Pratt Housing Consortium's Decarbonization Symposium—Earth Day 2022
April 20, 2022
Recording of the Pratt Housing Consortium's Decarbonization Symposium - Part I Welcome
Opening Remarks:
1. Frances Bronet, Pratt Institute President
2. David Burney, Pratt School of Architecture Housing
Consortium Topics:
a) The urgency of reducing Embodied Carbon in the 2020s - Why and How.
b) Bio-Materials for New & Existing Structure: Sustainable Forestry, Mass Timber Construction, Cross-laminate Timber (CLT).
c) Building Envelope Low-Carbon Retrofits.
Moderators:
1. Meta Brunzema, Architect, Collective for Community Culture & Environment, LLC, and Professor, Pratt Institute
2. Fatou Jabbie, Sustainability Consultant, NYC Accelerator, Mayor's Office of Climate and Environmental Justice
Panelists Presenting in Part 1:
1. Bill Caplan, Author of "Thwart Climate Change Now: Reducing Embodied Carbon Brick by Brick"
2. Paul L. Crovella, Environmental Engineer, SUNY, Environmental Science and Forestry
3. Gabrielle Brainard, Principle of Fabric First Architecture & Consulting, PLLC, and Professor at Pratt Institute
Electronic glitches and breaks have been removed.